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CIVITAS RESOURCES, INC. (CIVI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered stronger operations but mixed headline metrics: revenue of $1.057B and diluted EPS of $1.34; adjusted EPS of $0.99 and adjusted EBITDAX of $749MM; cash operating costs fell >10% q/q to $10.19/BOE, and oil volumes rose 6% q/q to 149 MBbl/d .
  • Civitas reinstated a capital return program: 50% of FCF (post base dividend) to buybacks and 50% to debt, lifted buyback authorization to $750MM, and launched a $250MM ASR; declared a $0.50 dividend (Sept 25, 2025) .
  • Asset sales: signed agreements to divest non-core DJ Basin assets for $435MM (>4x 2026 EBITDAX), proceeds to debt reduction; net debt targeted at ~$4.5B by year-end 2025 .
  • Guidance raised/introduced for Q3 2025: sales volumes 327–338 MBoe/d, oil 154–160 MBbl/d, capex $460–$500MM, cash OpEx $9.80–$10.30/BOE; Permian to maintain high levels in Q4 while DJ declines due to divestments .
  • Management transition: Board named Wouter van Kempen Interim CEO, emphasizing execution, cost leadership, and capital returns; CEO change and buyback restart are likely stock catalysts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Oil volumes increased 6% q/q to 149 MBbl/d, driven by new Permian wells; simul-frac efficiencies and longer laterals enhanced productivity and lowered costs .
  • Unit cash operating costs dropped to $10.19/BOE (>10% q/q reduction), with Permian LOE/BOE down >15% due to lower maintenance/workovers and water disposal/power .
  • Hedging gains of $69MM and added >9MM bbl of oil hedges through Q3’26; ~60% of 2H’25 production protected at a $67 WTI floor, de-risking cash flow .
  • Quote: “We’ve improved field-level execution, captured sustainable cost savings… and accelerated value through non-core divestments… we are reinstating an aggressive capital return program” — Interim CEO Wouter van Kempen .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue and adjusted EPS missed consensus*, despite operational outperformance: revenue $1.057B vs ~$1.100B*, adjusted EPS $0.99 vs ~$1.08* .
  • Natural gas realizations were pressured by weak Waha pricing; NGL realizations averaged ~30% of WTI, constraining commodity mix realizations .
  • Operating cash flow stepped down to $298MM (from $719MM in Q1), reflecting working capital seasonality (Colorado ad valorem payments) and lower price/realization backdrop .

Financial Results

P&L and Cash Flow (GAAP/non-GAAP)

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Operating Net Revenues ($USD Billions)$1.313 $1.194 $1.057
Crude/Nat/NGL Sales ($USD Billions)$1.311 $1.192 $1.054
Net Income ($USD Millions)$216 $186 $124
Diluted EPS ($USD)$2.15 $1.99 $1.34
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$359 $719 $298

Non-GAAP Performance and Capital

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Adjusted Net Income ($USD Millions)$166 $92
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$1.77 $0.99
Adjusted EBITDAX ($USD Millions)$786 $749
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$171 $123
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)$495 $506

Volumes and Realizations

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Sales Volumes (MBoe/d)311 317
Oil Volumes (MBbl/d)141 149
Cash Operating Expenses ($/BOE)$11.39 $10.19
Hedging Cash Settlement Gains ($USD Millions)$4 $69

Segment/Basin Breakdown (Average daily volumes)

BasinQ1 2025 Oil (MBbl/d)Q2 2025 Oil (MBbl/d)Q1 2025 Gas (MMcf/d)Q2 2025 Gas (MMcf/d)Q1 2025 NGL (MBbl/d)Q2 2025 NGL (MBbl/d)Q1 2025 MBoe/dQ2 2025 MBoe/d
Permian75 83 273 255 43 45 164 171
DJ66 66 288 269 33 35 147 146
Total141 149 561 524 76 80 311 317

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Sales Volumes (MBoe/d)Q3 2025N/A327–338 Introduced
Oil Volumes (MBbl/d)Q3 2025N/A154–160 Introduced
Capital Expenditures ($MM)Q3 2025N/A$460–$500 Introduced; lower vs Q2 actual
Cash Operating Expenses ($/BOE)Q3 2025N/A$9.80–$10.30 Introduced; lower trajectory
Dividend per shareQ3 2025$0.50 (Q2 declared) $0.50 (payable 9/25/25) Maintained
Share Repurchase AuthorizationFY 2025Prior not specified$750MM; $250MM ASR Raised/reinstated capital return program
Capital Return AllocationFY 2025 policyN/A50% FCF (post base dividend) to buybacks; 50% to debt Introduced

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Cost optimizationLaunched $100MM program; ~$40MM to benefit 2025; reiterated 2025 outlook ~80% captured; well costs down 7% Delaware/5% Midland/3% DJ; cash OpEx < $10/BOE expected in 2H Improving execution and margins
Hedging/cash flow protection~50% of 2025 oil hedged at ~$68 floor; added gas hedges ~60% of 2H’25 oil hedged at $67 floor; >9MM bbl added through Q3’26; $69MM realized gain Increased protection; realized benefits
Capital returns & balance sheetFocus on debt reduction, target ~$4.5B YE net debt Reinstated buybacks (50/50 FCF split), $750MM authorization, $250MM ASR; still targeting ~$4.5B net debt YE Return of capital accelerated; deleveraging on track
Permian/Midland/Delaware operationsLevel-loaded activity; cycle time gains; simul-frac productivity First operated Delaware pad with strong initial rates; 20+ Delaware wells TIL in Q3; co-dev success in Martin County Permian-led growth ramps
DJ Basin optimization & divestitureIncreased local sand usage; timing shifted capex $435MM non-core DJ divestments; long-reach laterals (4+ miles) with strong IPs; streamlining costs Portfolio high-grading; lower basin costs

Management Commentary

  • Interim CEO Wouter van Kempen: “We’ve improved field-level execution, captured sustainable cost savings, reduced risk through hedging… reaching our $4.5 billion debt target… we are reinstating an aggressive capital return program” .
  • CFO Marianella Foschi: Buybacks sized at ~$375MM for 2025 (incl. ~$70MM YTD), $750MM authorization equals ~28% of market cap; liquidity ~$2B; issued $750MM notes due 2033; expect minimal cash taxes over next five years due to recent Tax Act changes .
  • COO Clay Carrell: Efficiency gains across basins, strong early Delaware results, Midland co-dev success, DJ long lateral record wells; ~80% of $100MM cost program captured, driving well costs lower .
  • CEO Transition: “Focus… on execution and performance… cost leadership… and share price” — Wouter van Kempen .

Q&A Highlights

  • Debt reduction vs buybacks: Management reaffirmed YE 2025 net debt target (~$4.5B) and long-term <1x leverage objective; buybacks balanced against de-risked balance sheet (hedges, term debt, cost structure) .
  • 2026 framework: Post divestitures, maintenance capital program envisioned holding oil production flat ~145–150 MBbl/d, pending optimization and prices .
  • Dividend policy: Base dividend maintained; ASR reduces dividend outlay by ~$20–25MM annually from repurchased shares .
  • Working capital seasonality: Q2 ad valorem payments tightened WC by ~$150MM; expected partial reversal in 2H .
  • Operational efficiency timeline: Catalog of capex/LOE/midstream/marketing initiatives underway; DJ costs competitive (~$650/ft) with continued improvements .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 versus consensus*: revenue $1.057B vs ~$1.100B (miss), adjusted/normalized EPS $0.99 vs ~$1.08 (miss), EBITDA ~$777MM vs ~$726MM (beat).
  • Q1 2025 versus consensus*: revenue $1.194B vs ~$1.195B (in line), EPS $1.77 vs ~$1.68 (beat), EBITDA ~$818MM vs ~$804MM (beat).
  • Q2 2024 versus consensus*: revenue $1.313B vs ~$1.340B (miss), EPS $2.06 vs ~$2.75 (miss), EBITDA ~$925MM vs ~$937MM (slight miss).
MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Billions)*~$1.340~$1.195~$1.100
Revenue Actual ($USD Billions)*$1.313$1.194$1.057
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)*~$2.75~$1.68~$1.08
EPS Actual (Normalized/Adjusted) ($USD)*$2.06$1.77$0.99
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)*~$937~$804~$726
EBITDA Actual ($USD Millions)*~$925~$818~$777

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Expect Permian-led volume ramp and improving margins in 2H’25; buyback ASR in Q3 provides technical support; however, headline revenue/adjusted EPS misses versus consensus may limit immediate rerating .
  • Medium-term: Balance sheet path intact to $4.5B net debt YE’25, with ongoing deleveraging funded by 50% FCF; cost program ($100MM run-rate by 2026) and hedges underpin cash generation resiliency .
  • Mix/realizations: Gas/NGL pricing headwinds (Waha, NGLs at ~30% WTI) remain; oil focus and transportation terms in DJ help mitigate .
  • Operational execution: Delaware first operated pad and Midland co-development successes indicate rising capital efficiency; DJ long-reach lateral capability is a structural advantage .
  • Corporate actions: CEO transition emphasizes discipline and performance culture; reinstated capital returns (ASR + $750MM authorization) improve shareholder yield and may catalyze sentiment .
  • Guidance: Q3 2025 volumes and cost guidance signal continued improvements; monitor impact of DJ divestiture on Q4 volumes and 2026 maintenance plan .
  • Estimate revisions: Street likely trims EPS/revenue for Q3/Q4 on divestiture volume impact and realizations, while lifting EBITDA outlook on cost and efficiency gains.*

References: Earnings press release and 8-K (Q2 2025) ; Earnings call transcript (Q2 2025) ; Additional press releases (capital return and CEO transition) ; Prior quarter 8-K (Q1 2025) .